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The null hypothesis assumes there is no real difference between expected and observed values, and any apparent differences are due to chance. In genetics, this hypothesis is tested using chi-square analysis to determine whether observed data significantly deviate from predicted Mendelian ratios or if variations occur randomly.

Divide the total number of observed individuals by the sum of the ratio parts to find the base unit. For a 3:1 ratio with 40 total plants, divide 40 by 4 to get 10. Multiply this base unit by each ratio component: 10 × 3 = 30 tall plants and 10 × 1 = 10 short plants as expected values.

The chi-squared value measures how much observed data deviate from expected values. Calculate it by finding the squared difference between observed and expected values for each phenotype, then dividing by the expected value and summing all results. A larger chi-squared value indicates greater deviation from the expected ratio.

Degree of freedom equals the number of phenotypic classes minus one. For a monohybrid cross with two phenotypes (tall and short), the degree of freedom is 2 - 1 = 1. This value represents how many values can vary in the final statistical calculation.

Reject the null hypothesis when the p-value is less than 0.05, indicating statistically significant differences between observed and expected values. If the chi-squared value exceeds the critical value from the probability table at α = 0.05, the observed inheritance pattern does not follow the expected Mendelian ratio.

Chi-square analysis determines whether observed genetic crosses follow predicted Mendelian ratios or if deviations are statistically significant. By comparing observed phenotypic frequencies to expected values, researchers can confirm whether alleles assort independently and validate genetic hypotheses about inheritance patterns and genetic variation.

A p-value greater than 0.05 means the null hypothesis is not rejected, indicating that observed differences from expected values are likely due to chance alone. This supports the conclusion that the genetic data are consistent with the predicted inheritance pattern, such as independent assortment of alleles.