7.7
In 1798, Thomas Robert Malthus published his Essay on the Principle of Population, offering a more pessimistic view of economic growth.
Imagine a small farming village where land is initially plentiful. Farmers grow enough food, and real wages are relatively high.
But as families grow, the population increases steadily. Malthus argued that the population grows geometrically—1, 2, 4, 8, 16—while the food supply grows only arithmetically—1, 3, 5, 7, 9.
Over time, land becomes scarce. As more people share the same plots, productivity declines. This reflects the law of diminishing returns—each additional farmer adds less output than the one before. This leads to hunger, poverty, and overcrowding.
Malthus believed these pressures would lead to natural checks like famine, disease, and death, restoring the population to subsistence levels.
At this point, real wages stay low, barely enough to live. Any progress is temporary, as population growth cancels it out, trapping the economy in the Malthusian trap.
Thomas Malthus had a serious view of how economies grow. He believed that while people hope for progress, it may not last. The main reason is that the…
Copyright © 2026 MyJoVE Corporation. All rights reserved.