8.13
The unemployment rate is the percentage of people in the labor force who are unemployed.
The unemployment rate is countercyclical. It rises in contractions and falls in expansions.
During a contraction, firms lay off workers, and the number of unemployed people increases. So, the unemployment rate rises during a contraction.
During an expansion, firms hire more workers, and the number of unemployed people falls. So, the unemployment rate goes down during an expansion.
The unemployment rate is often considered a lagging indicator.
This means the business cycle changes direction first, and the unemployment rate changes direction afterward.
When a contraction begins, firms wait for some time before reducing their workforce.
Once firms realize that the slowdown will continue, they start cutting jobs.
As a result, the unemployment rate rises after the contraction has begun.
When an expansion begins, firms wait for some time before hiring new workers.
Once they feel confident that the recovery will last, they start hiring more workers.
As a result, the unemployment rate falls after the expansion has begun.
The unemployment rate moves in line with the business cycle, rising and falling as the economy contracts or expands. It is countercyclical, meaning it…
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