Name: how uncertainty changes in calculations
Uploaded: 2024-04-04T10:51:11.000Z
Duration: 59 s
Channel: JoVE

K12 Standards

Texas Essential Knowledge and Skills

High School

Chemistry

CHEM.2

CHEM.2.B

propagation-of-uncertainty-from-random-error

Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error

In an experiment, multiple arithmetic operations are often required. Here, the uncertainty associated with the first measurement propagates to the next in a cascading sequence.
Knowing the uncertainty associated with each measurement makes it possible to estimate the uncertainty from random errors from all arithmetic operations.
For addition and subtraction operations, the absolute uncertainty of the outcome is the square root of the sum of uncertainties expressed in absolute variances.
For multiplication and division operations, the relative uncertainty in the outcome is the square root of the sum of uncertainties calculated as the relative variances.
For the exponential function operation, the relative uncertainty in the outcome is the relative uncertainty of the base value multiplied by the exponent.

propagation of uncertainty from random error

An experiment often consists of more than a single step. In this case, measurements at each step give rise to uncertainty. Because the measurements occur in successive steps, the uncertainty in one step necessarily contributes to that in the subsequent step. As we perform statistical analysis on these types of experiments, we must learn to account for the propagation of uncertainty from one step to the next. The propagation of uncertainty depends on the type of arithmetic operation performed on the values. For addition and subtraction, propagating the uncertainty requires us to express the absolute uncertainty of the outcome, which is the square root of the sum of absolute uncertainties for all steps. For multiplication and division, propagating uncertainty requires us to find the square root of the sum of the relative uncertainties for all steps, and this square root is equal to the relative uncertainty of the outcome, also known as the ratio between the absolute uncertainty of the outcome and the magnitude of the expected outcome. For exponential functions, we propagate the uncertainty by multiplying the power with the relative uncertainty of the base value, which then equates to the relative uncertainty of the outcome for the whole data set. Knowing how to propagate uncertainty correctly helps us identify the method that yields the least uncertainty, therefore optimizing our experimental protocols.

In an experiment, multiple arithmetic operations are often required. Here, the uncertainty associated with the first measurement propagates to the next in ...

Education

JoVE Core

Analytical Chemistry

Unit 1

Chemical Applications of Statistical Analyses

chemical-applications-of-statistical-analyses

KEY TERMS AND CONCEPTS

how uncertainty changes in calculations

Uncertainty changes as measurements move through calculations. In a multi-step experiment, each measurement adds some uncertainty. Because the steps happen one after another, the uncertainty from one step carries into the next step and affects the final result.

The way uncertainty is combined depends on the math operation. For addition and subtraction, the final result is reported with absolute uncertainty. Absolute uncertainty is found as the square root of the sum of the absolute uncertainties from all steps. For multiplication and division, the result uses relative uncertainty, which is the absolute uncertainty divided by the expected value.

Exponential functions follow another rule. To propagate uncertainty here, multiply the power by the relative uncertainty of the base value. That gives the relative uncertainty of the full data set. Knowing these rules helps students choose the method that produces the least uncertainty and improves experimental planning.

How Uncertainty Changes in Calculations

si units: 2019 redefinition

SI Units in Chemistry Measurements

SI units give chemistry measurements a common standard. A measurement has two parts: a number that shows magnitude and a unit that gives the comparison scale. Using the same unit system helps keep results consistent and reduces mistakes in scientific communication. The Système International d'Unités, or SI units, includes both fundamental units and derived SI units. Fundamental units describe base physical quantities such as mass, distance, temperature, time, electric current, luminous...

degrees of freedom

Degrees of Freedom in Statistical Calculations

Degrees of freedom describe how many values in a statistical calculation are free to vary. They represent the minimum number of independent numbers needed to determine a statistic. In a data set, some values may be independent while others depend on them. A simple example uses three unknown numbers with a mean of 10. The first two numbers can be chosen freely. The last number cannot be chosen on its own because it must keep the mean at 10. In that case, the data set has two degrees of freedom.<br...

statistical analysis: overview

Mean, Median, Range, Precision & Accuracy

Statistical analysis helps compare repeated measurements and judge how good the results are. When the same sample is measured again and again, small differences can appear. These differences are called errors. Researchers use statistics to describe the data and to decide whether a method is suitable. The mean and median are common ways to find the central value of a data set. The mean is the sum of all results divided by the total number of results. The median is the middle value after the...

types of errors: detection and minimization

types-of-errors-detection-and-minimization

Measurement Errors: Sources and Examples

Measurement errors are the differences between an obtained result and the true value or estimated central value. They can be written as absolute error or relative error. Absolute error is the numerical difference from the true or central value. Relative error compares that difference to the true or central value and is often shown as a percentage. Errors can also be grouped by their source, magnitude, and sign. In many experiments, the main categories are systematic, random, and gross errors.

systematic error: methodological and sampling errors

systematic-error-methodological-and-sampling-errors

Reducing Bias in Measurement Errors

Systematic errors are bias in measurement, and their sources can often be identified and reduced. In this topic, the main categories are sampling, instrumental, methodological, and personal errors. Each one comes from a different part of the experiment, so each one needs a different fix. Sampling errors happen when the sampling method is poor or when the wrong population is chosen. These errors can be reduced by improving the sampling strategy. Better sample selection helps the results...

random error

Random Error in Measurements

Random error in measurements comes from uncontrollable variables that affect data from one trial to the next. These variables can include changes in the environment, imperfections in an instrument, or the natural variation of the thing being measured. Because the direction and size of the error can change from one measurement to the next, random error is hard to predict, estimate, or describe directly. Although random error is difficult to remove, its overall effect can be studied in a large...

standard deviation of calculated results

Reading Data Spread with Standard Deviation

Standard deviation describes how spread out data are around the mean. It helps show how tightly values cluster near the center and how far they sit from that central value. Many large data sets follow a Gaussian distribution, also called a normal distribution. A Gaussian distribution has a bell-shaped curve. The mean, or central value, appears in the middle, where the most frequent values are found. As data points move farther from the center, deviation increases and frequency decreases. The...

introduction to z scores

Reading z Scores for Outliers

z scores show how far a value is from the mean in standard deviation units. A z score, also called a standardized value, tells whether a data point sits above or below the mean, μ. Values larger than the mean have positive z scores, while values smaller than the mean have negative z scores. If x equals the mean, then the z score is zero. The z score scale is centered on zero. That means the mean of all z scores is zero, and their standard deviation is one. This makes z scores useful for...

uncertainty: overview

Measuring and Reporting Uncertainty

Uncertainty is part of analytical chemistry measurement. When repeated measurements are taken, random errors can cause the results to differ in small ways. These repeated values are compared with the estimated or expected value to judge how much uncertainty is present. Uncertainty is usually written after the estimated or expected value. It should also be reported with the correct number of significant figures, which are the digits needed to show a precise result. The possible variation from...

Uncertainty changes as measurements move through calculations. In a multi-step experiment, each measurement adds some uncertainty. Because the steps happen one after another, the uncertainty from one step carries into the next step and affects the final result. The way uncertainty is combined depends on the math operation. For addition and subtraction, the final result is reported with absolute uncertainty. Absolute uncertainty is found as the square root of the sum of the absolute...

propagation of uncertainty from systematic error

propagation-of-uncertainty-from-systematic-error

Atomic Mass Uncertainty in Isotope Samples

Atomic mass can vary because different samples contain different isotope ratios. For oxygen, the measured atomic mass is a weighted average of the isotopic masses in that sample. A single sample may not match the true atomic mass of oxygen found across all oxygen molecules on Earth. That creates sampling error, which is a type of systematic error. This kind of uncertainty is not random. It is tied to the system being measured. Within the uncertainty range, the chance of finding a particular...

uncertainty: confidence intervals

Confidence Intervals and Sample Size

Confidence intervals show a range of values around a sample mean that may contain the true mean. They are written as a probability percentage. A 95% confidence interval means the statistician is 95% confident that the true mean lies within that range. The two ends of the range are called confidence limits. These limits are estimated from the sample mean, the standard deviation, and the statistical factor t, or t-score. The t-score depends on the number of degrees of freedom and the confidence...

significance testing: overview

Significance Testing in Analytical Chemistry

Significance testing helps analytical chemists decide whether a difference is meaningful or just caused by random error. It is used to test whether a claim about a parameter is valid. In analytical chemistry, it mainly helps determine whether a change between two values comes from determinate error or indeterminate error. A determinate error has a clear source. It may come from a change in the measurement protocol, the analyst, or the sample itself. These changes can create a deviation from...

identifying statistically significant differences: the f-test

identifying-statistically-significant-differences-the-f-test

Comparing Variance with the F-Test

The F-test compares variance in two data sets or compares a sample variance with a population variance. It helps decide whether an indeterminate error can explain a difference in the values. In statistics, variance shows how spread out the data are. The test assumes that the data set or sets are normally distributed. It also assumes that the data sets are independent of each other. These conditions must be met before the F-test is used. The F test statistic is found by dividing one variance...

comparing experimental results: student's t-test

comparing-experimental-results-student-s-t-test

Student's t-Test for Significance Checks

Student's t-test is a statistical tool for checking whether two means are different in a meaningful way. It can compare a sample mean with a population mean, or it can compare the means from two data sets. The test uses the mean, standard deviation, and number of measurements, along with a chosen confidence interval. The test statistic is then compared with a table of critical values at that confidence level. If the test statistic is smaller than the critical value, the null hypothesis is...

detection of gross error: the q test

Using the Q Test to Flag Outlier Data

The Q test helps identify outlier data points that sit far from the rest of a data set. In high school lab work, this can help students decide whether an unusual value should stay in the data or be removed. Outliers often come from gross errors, or human mistakes, and may not reflect the real result being measured. Some points that look like outliers may still reflect a true difference in the phenomenon being studied. In those cases, a statistical test can help judge whether the value should...

calibration curves: linear least squares

Using a Calibration Line to Find Unknowns

A calibration curve links an instrument's signal to known concentrations of a substance. Scientists use it to set response levels with standards. They can also fit an equation to the curve and use it to find the concentration of unknown samples. When the data make a straight line, the linear least-squares method is the standard way to fit the curve. This method finds the line that best matches the points by minimizing the sum of the squared differences between the predicted and actual values.

calibration curves: correlation coefficient

calibration-curves-correlation-coefficient

Interpreting Correlation in Calibration Curves

Calibration curves use the correlation coefficient, written as r, to show how strongly two variables are related and which direction the relationship takes. In a linear calibration curve, this value helps describe the association between the variables being compared. The correlation coefficient ranges from -1 to +1. A value of +1 means a perfect positive linear correlation, while -1 means a perfect negative correlation. A value of 0 means there is no correlation between the two variables. A...

correlation and regression

Using Regression to Measure Variable Links

Correlation and regression are used to study the relationship between two variables. Correlation shows how strongly the variables are associated. Regression helps describe that relationship with a line that can be used for prediction. In linear regression, the relationship is written as a correlation coefficient. This coefficient is shown as r and ranges from -1 to +1. A positive value means the variables move in the same direction. A negative value means they move in opposite directions. <br...

difference from background: limit of detection

difference-from-background-limit-of-detection

Limit of Detection and Quantification

The limit of detection, or LOD, is the smallest amount of analyte that can be distinguished from background noise. In measurement science, background noise is the natural signal in a sample that can interfere with the analyte signal. The LOD helps show whether a substance is present, but it does not usually give a reliable amount. The LOD is set at the concentration where the analyte signal is three times larger than the standard deviation of the blank signal. A blank is a sample without the...

quantifying and rejecting outliers: the grubbs test

quantifying-and-rejecting-outliers-the-grubbs-test

Grubbs Test for Spotting Data Outliers

The Grubbs test is a statistical way to spot a possible outlier in a data set. It is used when the data is assumed to follow a normal distribution. A Grubbs test helps decide whether one unusual numerical value should be treated as a true outlier. To run a two-tailed Grubbs test, first find the absolute difference between the questionable value and the mean. Then divide that difference by the sample standard deviation. The result is the Grubbs statistic, or G. Next, compare the calculated G...

what is anova?

ANOVA for Comparing Sample Means

ANOVA, or Analysis of Variance, is a statistical test used to compare the means of three or more samples. It was developed by Ronald Fisher in 1918. In high school statistics, ANOVA helps determine whether group averages are equal or whether at least one group is different. Before ANOVA is used, the samples should meet three key assumptions. The data should come from normally distributed samples. The samples should also be randomly and independently selected. In addition, the populations...

key terms and concepts

Learn how uncertainty carries through addition, subtraction, multiplication, division, and exponential steps in multi-step experiments for high school science.

How Uncertainty Changes in Calculations | JoVE K12

analytical chemistry

JoVE Core Analytical Chemistry simplifies complex chemical principles by breaking them down into clear, engaging animations, making topics from SI Units to NMR spectroscopy more accessible and straightforward. Additionally, the scientist-in-action videos highlight the application of these concepts in real-world research conducted in laboratories globally.

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physical-and-chemical-properties-of-matter

Physical and Chemical Properties of Matter

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Physical Properties of Matter

A physical property is ...

CHEM.2.A

Types of Errors: Detection and Minimization

Error is the deflection of an obtained result from the expected or true results of an experiment. This happens due to the uncertainty associated with the ...

Systematic Error: Methodological and Sampling Errors

Systematic errors, depending on their source, are of four types &#8211; sampling, instrumental, method, and personal errors.
Sampling errors occur due to ...

Random Error

Indeterminate or random errors arise from several uncontrollable variables in successive measurements.
Since these errors can neither be predicted nor ...

Uncertainty: Overview

The uncertainty reflects the possible range of values in which the result of a measurement can exist.
However, uncertainty varies from error, which is the ...

Propagation of Uncertainty from Systematic Error

The atomic mass of an element obtained from different sources changes slightly due to the variation in relative isotope concentration from one source to ...

SI Units: 2019 Redefinition

Measurement is integral to analytical chemistry. Each record comprises a number &#8211; denoting the magnitude&#160; &#8211; and the unit &#8211; a ...

Degrees of Freedom

The degree of freedom is the number of independent pieces of information or sample values required to perform any calculation.
The degrees of freedom vary ...

Statistical Analysis: Overview

An analysis is usually conducted by replicated sampling or repeated measurements on the same sample. This leads to scattered results rather than a single ...

Standard Deviation of Calculated Results

A plot of relative deviation from the mean and its frequency of occurrence appears as a Gaussian curve. This probability distribution curve of a ...

Introduction to z Scores

The z score, or standardized score, is the number of standard deviations that a given value is away from the mean. It is one of the commonly used measures ...

Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals

Standard deviation provides a measure of nearness between the sample mean and the true mean reliably for a large number of measurements.
So, when there ...

Significance Testing: Overview

Is the difference between the two values due to an unexplainable random error or a systematic error that can be rationalized by a hypothetical model?
The ...

Identifying Statistically Significant Differences: The F-Test

The F-test checks if the difference between two variances is too large to be explained by an indeterminate error. It compares the variance of a sample and ...

Comparing Experimental Results: Student's t-Test

The influence of changing the method, the sample, or the analyst on the analysis results is studied by altering only one in a pair of experiments.
The ...

Detection of Gross Error: The Q Test

Outliers are those data points extremely different from the rest of the data set.
Dixon&#39;s Q-test is a significance test that helps determine whether ...

Correlation and Regression

Regression and correlation are statistical techniques that examine the relationship between two variables.&#160;
While regression is used to understand ...

Difference from Background: Limit of Detection

Background noise is intrinsic to any measurement interfering with the detection of the analyte signal. To analyze if the measured signal is from the ...

Quantifying and Rejecting Outliers: The Grubbs Test

Grubbs&#39; test, like Dixon&#39;s Q-test, is a statistical test to identify the outliers in data with a normal distribution. Here, the number of ...

What is ANOVA?

The analysis of variance&#8212;abbreviated as ANOVA &#8212;is used when the means of three or more samples need to be tested for equality.
For example, ...

CHEM.2.C

Scientific and engineering practices. The student analyzes and interprets data to derive meaning, identify features and patterns, and discover relationships or correlations to develop evidence-based arguments or evaluate designs. The student is expected to:

How Uncertainty Changes in Calculations

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