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The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki, and the protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University (W2025-065-1) in November 2024. Informed consent was obtained from all subjects involved in the study.
Data source and preprocessing
RNA-seq data associated with HF were obtained, including two microarray datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/). Two peripheral blood microarray datasets were selected: GSE59867 (34 HF samples and 30 controls) was used as the training dataset; GSE57338 (177 HF samples and 136 controls) was used as the validation dataset. Clinical information available for GSE57338, including age, gender, and disease status, was retrieved from GEO and is summarized in Supplementary Table 1. In addition, a total of 3,893 SUMOylation-related genes (SRGs) were obtained from the dbPTM database (https://awi.cuhk.edu.cn/dbPTM/index.php) (Supplementary Table 2), while 2,030 mitochondria-related genes (MRGs) were collected based on a previous study24 (Supplementary Table 3). Next, the R package GEOquery (v 2.72.0)25 was used to download datasets from the GEO database, extract the expression matrix, and obtain the sample phenotype information. Annotation was performed by mapping the annotation file and matching the gene IDs. Invalid gene IDs were removed, and the most highly expressed probes were retained.
Key gene selection via machine learning
A multi-step approach was used to select the genes related to the HF, SUMOylation, and mitochondria. First, the common genes between the training dataset, the SRGs, and the MRGs were identified using intersection analysis. The potential function of common genes was identified by Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analysis using the R package ClusterProfiler (v 4.12.6)26. Then, three machine learning approaches, namely LASSO regression, XGBoost, and random forest (RF), were employed to further filter the genes. In LASSO regression, the optimal regularization parameter λ was selected via cross-validation to identify the genetic features with the greatest predictive value. The non-zero coefficient genes were selected for subsequent analysis. Then, XGBoost and RF algorithms were used to calculate the feature importance scores and screen the top 20 genes.
Construction and evaluation of diagnostic models
A diagnostic model was constructed using Logistic regression based on the GSE59867 dataset. The model was then applied to predict disease status and calculate probability scores. To validate the model, the same key genes were extracted from the GSE57338 dataset, normalized to match the training dataset, and used for external prediction. Model performance was assessed using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, Confusion Matrix, Calibration Curve, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA).
Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and subcellular localization
Spearman correlation analysis was used to identify correlated genes for each key gene. GSEA analysis was performed using the R package ClusterProfiler (v 4.12.6) on the key genes' related genes. Meanwhile, to determine the precise subcellular localization of the key genes within the cell, their subcellular localization was determined using the GeneCards database (https://www.genecards.org/).
Gene-disease association and drug prediction
To evaluate the clinical relevance of the identified key genes, systematic disease-association and drug-interaction analyses were performed. Disease-gene associations were interrogated using the Comparative Toxicogenomics Database (CTD; https://ctdbase.org/), with results ranked by both inference scores and reference counts (top 10 associations reported). Gene-drug interaction data for key genes were obtained from the Drug-Gene Interaction database (DGIdb), and drugs were excluded based on an interaction score < 0.5. Subsequently, we downloaded the 3D structures of proteins corresponding to key genes from the PDB database (https://www.rcsb.org/) and the molecular structures of potential drugs from PubChem (https://pubchem.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/). Next, molecular docking analysis was performed using CB-Dock227 (https://cadd.labshare.cn/cb-dock2/php/index.php) to calculate the binding scores between the potential drugs and proteins. A lower binding free energy indicates a more stable interaction, suggesting the compound may have greater targeting potential.
Immune infiltration analysis
Immune cell infiltration was assessed using three complementary methods: Microenvironment Cell Populations-counter (MCP-counter)28, cell-type identification by estimating relative subsets of RNA transcripts (CIBERSORT)29 and single-sample enrichment analysis (ssGSEA)30. MCP-counter and CIBERSORT analysis was performed using the R package IOBR (v 0.99.0)31. MCP-counter was used to estimate immune and stromal cell abundance, while CIBERSORT was used to quantify the relative proportions of 22 immune cell types. ssGSEA was performed using the GSVA package (v1.52.3)32 to evaluate sample-level enrichment of immune cell subtypes.
Construction of the competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) regulatory network
To investigate the potential miRNA–lncRNA regulatory roles associated with previously identified key genes, a ceRNA regulatory network was constructed. The R package multiMiR (v 1.26.0)33 was used to predict potential microRNA (miRNA)–mRNA interactions for key genes, integrating data from PITA (https://omictools.com/pita-tool/) and the miRDB database (https://mirdb.org/). miRNA–mRNA pairs with high confidence and consistency were selected. Subsequently, lncRNA–miRNA interactions were retrieved from the StarBase database (https://rnasysu.com/encori/) and filtered for interactions supported by ≥ 10 CLIP-seq experiments and categorized as lincRNAs. A ceRNA network was constructed by integrating lncRNA-miRNA-mRNA interactions.
qPCR validation
To validate the expression of key genes, Blood samples from patients with HF and healthy controls were collected from the clinical cohort (n = 6 per group) at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University (W2025-065-1) under approved protocols and informed consent. Total RNA was isolated using the TRIzol reagent in conjunction with chloroform and isopropanol. Following extraction, RNA was dissolved in DEPC-treated water, and its concentration and purity were assessed using a NanoDrop spectrophotometer. For transcriptional analysis, RNA was reverse transcribed into cDNA using the Fast First-Strand cDNA Synthesis Mix for RT (with dsDNase). Quantitative PCR was subsequently performed using the Fast Taq qPCR SYBR Green Mix. The specific primer sequences are detailed in the Table of Materials. Relative gene expression levels were calculated using the 2-ΔΔCT method, with appropriate normalization.
Statistical analysis
All statistical analyses were performed using R software and GraphPad Prism. Statistical comparisons between two independent groups were performed using either Student's t-test or the Mann-Whitney U test, depending on the data distribution. A p-value of less than 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance.