Baseline characteristics in the ACI group and the ACI combined OSAS group
As shown in Table 1, the ACI group consisted of 68 males and 32 females, with an average age of 62.84 ± 12.65 years, and the ACI combined OSAS group included 116 males and 54 females, with an average age of 61.31 ± 11.25 years. The ACI combined OSAS group had significantly higher AHI, NIHSS scores, and CRP levels. However, the two groups showed comparable distributions of age, gender, BMI, hypertension, DM, cardiopathy, dyslipidemia, smoking, drinking, thrombolysis, and TOAST.
Changes in miR-486-3p and inflammatory markers across OSAS severity subgroups
To evaluate the dose-dependent relationship between OSAS severity and molecular changes, we stratified the 170 patients with ACI and OSAS into mild (5 ≤ AHI < 15, n = 60), moderate (15 ≤ AHI < 30, n = 75), and severe (AHI ≥ 30, n = 35) subgroups based on AHI criteria. As shown in Figure 1A–C, a clear graded pattern was observed across the four groups (ACI, mild, moderate, and severe OSAS). Specifically, miR-486-3p expression decreased progressively from the ACI group to the severe OSAS subgroup (Figure 1A, P < 0.001 vs. ACI group). In contrast, serum TNF-α and CRP levels increased stepwise with OSAS severity (Figure 1B,C, P < 0.001 vs. ACI group). These findings indicate that the hypoxic burden imposed by OSAS is associated with a graded suppression of miR-486-3p and a parallel augmentation of systemic inflammation.
Diagnostic value of miR-486-3p for OSAS in ACI patients
miR-486-3p may have significant diagnostic value in ACI combined OSAS, with an AUC of 0.927 (optimal cutoff value was 0.845), and sensitivity and specificity were 92.94% and 79.00% (Figure 1D). To evaluate the robustness of the diagnostic model and rule out potential overfitting, 5‑fold cross‑validation was performed for the ROC analysis of miR‑486‑3p. As shown in Supplementary Table 1, the average AUC across the five folds was 0.928 (ranging from 0.847 to 0.969), which was highly consistent with the apparent AUC of 0.927 from the original analysis. The mean sensitivity and specificity were 88.83% and 87.00%, respectively.
Correlations of miR-486-3p with stroke severity and inflammatory markers in ACI combined OSAS
In the ACI with OSAS group, Spearman correlation analyses revealed that miR-486-3p expression was significantly negatively correlated with NIHSS score (Figure 2A), TNF-α (Figure 2B), and CRP (Figure 2C).
Prognostic indicators in the good and poor prognosis groups
Patients with ACI combined OSAS were divided into a good prognosis group and a poor prognosis group according to mRS scores. As demonstrated in Table 2, mRS score, SAQLI score, ESS score, HIF-1α, and TNF-α were increased in the poor prognosis group.
Prognostic value of miR-486-3p for 1-year outcomes of ACI combined OSAS patients
Kaplan-Meier curve results indicated that high levels of miR-486-3p were associated with a good prognosis, whereas low levels were associated with a poor prognosis (Figure 2D). In the univariate analysis, miR-486-3p expression and NIHSS score were associated with clinical outcomes. Other variables, including SAQLI score (P = 0.078), HIF-1α (P = 0.086), TNF-α (P = 0.072), age (P = 0.082), DM (P = 0.067), cardiopathy (P = 0.065), and AHI (P = 0.069), showed marginally significant associations with prognosis, which were also included in the multivariate Cox analysis. In multivariate analysis, miR-486-3p remained an independent protective factor (HR = 0.437, 95% CI: 0.278–0.684, P < 0.001), while cardiopathy (HR = 1.822, 95% CI: 1.070–3.104, P = 0.027) and NIHSS score (HR = 1.597, 95% CI: 1.008–2.529, P = 0.046) emerged as independent risk factors for poor clinical outcomes (Table 3).
Summary of findings
In summary, the present study demonstrated that miR‑486‑3p is significantly downregulated in ACI patients with comorbid OSAS and exhibits high diagnostic accuracy for identifying OSAS in this population. A clear dose‑dependent relationship was observed across OSAS severity subgroups, with miR‑486‑3p decreasing progressively and inflammatory markers (TNF‑α and CRP) increasing stepwise from mild to severe OSAS. Correlation analyses further confirmed that miR‑486‑3p was negatively associated with both stroke severity (NIHSS) and systemic inflammation. Importantly, low miR‑486‑3p expression predicted poor 1‑year functional outcomes, and multivariate Cox regression identified miR‑486‑3p as an independent protective factor after adjustment for potential confounders, including NIHSS and AHI. Collectively, these findings support the hypothesis that miR‑486‑3p may serve as a novel diagnostic and prognostic biomarker for ACI‑OSAS comorbidity, potentially through its regulatory role in systemic inflammation.
DATA AVAILABILITY:
The raw data supporting the findings of this study are available in Supplementary File 1, which includes baseline characteristics, miR‑486‑3p expression levels, ELISA measurements, and 1‑year mRS follow‑up data for all enrolled patients.

Figure 1: Changes in miR-486-3p and inflammatory markers across ACI combined OSAS severity subgroups and diagnostic performance of miR-486-3p for OSAS. (A) Relative expression of miR-486-3p in the ACI group and ACI combined OSAS subgroups. (B) Serum TNF-α concentration combined. (C) Serum CRP concentration in the ACI group (AHI < 5, n=100) and mild (5 ≤ AHI < 15, n=60), moderate (15 ≤ AHI < 30, n=75), and severe (AHI ≥ 30, n=35) OSAS subgroups. (D) ROC curve of miR-486-3p for discriminating ACI patients with OSAS from those without. ***P < 0.001. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.

Figure 2: Correlations of miR-486-3p with stroke severity and inflammatory markers, and its prognostic value for 1-year outcomes. (A–C) Spearman correlation analyses of miR-486-3p expression with NIHSS score, TNF-α, and CRP. (D) Kaplan-Meier survival curves for good prognosis probability at 1-year follow-up, stratified by median miR-486-3p expression. ***P < 0.001. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
| Variable | ACI (n=100) | ACI and OSAS (n=170) | P value |
| Age (years) | 62.84 ± 12.65 | 61.31 ± 11.25 | 0.303 |
| Gender (male/female) | 68/32 | 116/54 | 0.968 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 24.74 ± 3.57 | 25.02 ± 3.47 | 0.531 |
| Hypertension, n (%) | 74 (74%) | 134 (78.82%) | 0.365 |
| DM, n (%) | 22 (22%) | 43 (25.29%) | 0.543 |
| Cardiopathy, n (%) | 13 (13%) | 25 (14.71%) | 0.698 |
| AHI (times/h) | 2.07 ± 1.42 | 19.95 ± 9.19 | < 0.001*** |
| NIHSS score | 1.70 ± 1.18 | 4.05 ± 1.73 | < 0.001*** |
| CRP (ng/mL) | 2.03 ± 0.17 | 3.01 ± 0.27 | < 0.001*** |
| ACI grade (mild/moderate) | 99/1 | 69/101 | < 0.001*** |
| Dyslipidemia (yes/no) | 52/48 | 96/74 | 0.478 |
| Smoking (yes/no) | 48/52 | 91/79 | 0.382 |
| Drinking (yes/no) | 40/60 | 87/83 | 0.076 |
| Thrombolysis (yes/no) | 38/62 | 81/89 | 0.124 |
| TOAST | | | 0.487 |
| Cardioembolism (n) | 22 | 36 | |
| Small vessel occlusion (n) | 18 | 28 | |
| Large artery atherosclerosis (n) | 13 | 25 | |
| Stroke of undetermined etiology (n) | 5 | 19 | |
| Stroke of other determined etiology (n) | 42 | 62 | |
Table 1: Baseline characteristics of ACI patients with and without OSAS. Data are presented as mean ± SD for continuous variables or n (%) for categorical variables. P values were calculated using the independent t-test for continuous variables and the chi-square test for categorical variables. ACI, acute cerebral infarction; OSAS, obstructive sleep apnea syndrome; BMI, body mass index; DM, diabetes mellitus; AHI, apnea‑hypopnea index; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale; CRP, C‑reactive protein; TOAST, Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment.
| Variable | Good prognosis (n=97) | Poor prognosis (n=73) | P value |
| mRS score | 0.88 ± 0.84 | 4.55 ± 1.08 | < 0.001*** |
| SAQIL score | 2.59 ± 1.17 | 3.12 ± 1.48 | 0.009** |
| ESS score | 8.69 ± 2.76 | 10.05 ± 2.79 | 0.002** |
| HIF-1α (pg/mL) | 1159.94 ± 277.86 | 1283.88 ± 445.15 | 0.027* |
| TNF-α (pg/mL) | 121.4 ± 12.87 | 128.4 ± 11.67 | < 0.001*** |
Table 2: Prognostic indicators in the good and poor prognosis groups of ACI patients with OSAS. Patients were divided into good prognosis (mRS 0–2, n = 97) and poor prognosis (mRS 3–6, n = 73) groups based on 1‑year mRS scores. Data are presented as mean ± SD. P values were calculated using the independent t-test. mRS, modified Rankin Scale; SAQLI, Calgary Sleep Apnea Quality of Life Index; ESS, Epworth Sleepiness Scale; HIF‑1α, hypoxia‑inducible factor‑1α; TNF‑α, tumor necrosis factor‑α.
| Variable | HR | Univariate 95%CI | P | HR | Multivariate 95%CI | P |
| | Lower | Upper | | | Lower | Upper | |
| miR-486-3p | 0.442 | 0.228 | 0.679 | <0.001 | 0.437 | 0.278 | 0.684 | <0.001 |
| SAQLI score | 0.628 | 0.375 | 1.053 | 0.078 | 0.713 | 0.416 | 1.22 | 0.217 |
| ESS score | 0.922 | 0.595 | 1.429 | 0.718 | | | | |
| HIF-1α | 0.694 | 0.457 | 1.053 | 0.086 | 0.802 | 0.523 | 1.229 | 0.311 |
| TNF-α | 1.469 | 0.966 | 2.233 | 0.072 | 1.494 | 0.978 | 2.284 | 0.063 |
| Age | 1.445 | 0.955 | 2.188 | 0.082 | 1.29 | 0.845 | 1.97 | 0.238 |
| Gender | 0.829 | 0.534 | 1.285 | 0.401 | | | | |
| BMI | 1.196 | 0.786 | 1.821 | 0.402 | | | | |
| Hypertension | 0.754 | 0.465 | 1.222 | 0.252 | | | | |
| DM | 1.512 | 0.972 | 2.351 | 0.067 | 1.246 | 0.79 | 1.965 | 0.343 |
| Cardiopathy | 1.611 | 0.971 | 2.673 | 0.065 | 1.822 | 1.07 | 3.104 | 0.027 |
| AHI | 1.468 | 0.97 | 2.222 | 0.069 | 1.125 | 0.734 | 1.725 | 0.588 |
| NIHSS score | 1.588 | 1.027 | 2.455 | 0.037 | 1.597 | 1.008 | 2.529 | 0.046 |
| Dyslipidemia | 1.178 | 0.776 | 1.788 | 0.442 | | | | |
| Smoking | 0.895 | 0.593 | 1.35 | 0.596 | | | | |
| Drinking | 1.116 | 0.738 | 1.689 | 0.603 | | | | |
| Thrombolysis | 1.259 | 0.834 | 1.902 | 0.272 | | | | |
Table 3: Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses for 1‑year poor prognosis in ACI patients with OSAS. HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; SAQLI, Calgary Sleep Apnea Quality of Life Index; ESS, Epworth Sleepiness Scale; HIF‑1α, hypoxia‑inducible factor‑1α; TNF‑α, tumor necrosis factor‑α; BMI, body mass index; DM, diabetes mellitus; AHI, apnea‑hypopnea index; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale. Variables with P < 0.1 in univariate analysis were entered into the multivariate Cox model.
Supplementary Figure 1: Flowchart of patient selection and subgroup stratification.Please click here to download this file.
Supplementary Table 1: Five‑fold cross‑validation for internal validation of the diagnostic value of miR‑486‑3p. AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval. The average AUC, sensitivity, and specificity were calculated as the arithmetic mean across the five folds.Please click here to download this file.
Supplementary File 1: The raw data supporting the findings of this study.Please click here to download this file.