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In this study, regression analysis and other multi-factor methods were not used to correct the above factors. The core reason is that the study group has achieved the balance of baseline confounding factors. Such factors have no statistical interference with the study outcome and do not need further correction. The specific basis is as follows:
In this study, 122 patients with AECOPD were divided into high and low FeNO groups (61 cases each) according to FeNO ≥25 ppb. After the statistical test, there was no significant difference in age, sex, BMI, smoking history/smoking index, comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, coronary heart disease, etc.), and other demographic and clinical characteristics between the two groups (P > 0.05).
There was no significant difference in baseline lung function indicators (FEV1% pred, FEV1/FVC) and disease severity-related indicators (CAT score) between the two groups (P > 0.05). The distribution of the above factors between the two groups was balanced and did not introduce confounding bias, so no additional correction by multivariate regression was needed.
This study has yet to construct a joint predictive model incorporating fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) and eosinophils (EOS). Furthermore, it has not directly validated the independent predictive value of FeNO. The primary reason for this limitation is that the core research objectives and the sample size constraints of this study do not support the development and validation of a joint predictive model, as elaborated below.
This study is a single-center retrospective investigation aimed at preliminarily exploring the correlation between fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) levels and glucocorticoid treatment responses in patients with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). The primary objective is to elucidate the differences in treatment outcomes between high and low FeNO groups, as well as to examine the relationship between FeNO and eosinophil counts (EOS). This research aims to provide preliminary clinical evidence and a foundational basis for future development of predictive models, rather than directly constructing and validating them at this stage. Regarding sample size limitations, this study included a total of 122 patients, who were divided into treatment and control groups based on their FeNO levels. Each subgroup consisted of only 25 cases, which is insufficient for the construction and validation of predictive models, particularly multi-factor joint models. Adequate sample size is crucial to ensure the stability, accuracy, and generalizability of the model. The limited sample size in this study does not fulfill the fundamental requirements for constructing clinical prediction models. Attempting to develop a model under these conditions may lead to overfitting, rendering the results statistically unreliable and clinically inapplicable.
Based on the feedback, follow-up studies will focus on verifying the independent predictive value of Fe NO and on constructing a joint model. A multicenter, prospective clinical study is being planned to expand the sample size to include at least 300 patients with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), ensuring that each subgroup meets the requirements for model construction. Furthermore, multivariate logistic and linear regression will be used to adjust for potential confounding factors, including age, baseline lung function, disease severity, and comorbidities. Concurrently, a prediction model utilizing FeNO alone and a combined prediction model incorporating both FeNO and eosinophil counts (EOS) will be developed. The subsequent step will involve verifying the independent predictive value of FeNO for glucocorticoid treatment response in AECOPD patients through stratified and subgroup analyses, and elucidating the synergistic effect of FeNO and EOS in this prediction.
Baseline characteristics of the study participants
A total of 122 patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) were included in this study. Based on fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) levels, patients were classified into a high-level group (n = 61) and a low-level group (n = 61). As presented in Table 1 and Table 2, there were no significant differences in average age, gender composition, body mass index (BMI), smoking history, smoking index, or complications between the two groups (P > 0.05). This finding indicates a good balance and comparability between the two groups regarding age distribution, BMI, smoking exposure, and comorbidities, thereby providing a reliable foundation for subsequent inter-group comparisons.
Baseline laboratory examination data showed that there was no significant difference in serum procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), serum amyloid A (SAA), white blood cell count (WBC), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (CAT) between the two groups (P < 0.05). However, there was a significant difference in the peripheral blood eosinophil count (EOS): the EOS value in the high FeNO group was 0.23 (0.17, 0.28) × 109/L, which was significantly higher than the low FeNO group [0.04 (0.01, 0.10) × 109/L] (z = -8.120, P < 0.001, see Table 3 and Table 4).
Analysis of FeNO level changes
In the high FeNO group (n = 61), FeNO levels are presented as median (interquartile range, IQR). At baseline, no significant difference in FeNO levels was observed between the treatment group (34.5 ppb [30.5, 41.5]) and the control group (35 ppb [31, 42]) (z = -0.176, P = 0.86). After treatment, the median FeNO level in the treatment group decreased to 22 ppb (20, 24), while the control group showed a decrease to 14 ppb (8.5, 18). The between-group comparison revealed a significantly higher FeNO level in the treatment group compared to the control group (z = -4.457, P < 0.001). To evaluate the net efficacy, the magnitude of change (ΔFeNO) was analyzed. Intra-group analysis revealed a significant decrease in FeNO levels in both treatment groups (median difference: 11.5 ppb [7.5, 19.5], z = -5.234, P < 0.001) and the control group (median difference: 4 ppb [1.5, 5.5], z = -4.118, P < 0.001). Crucially, the inter-group comparison of these change scores revealed that the treatment group exhibited a significantly greater reduction in FeNO levels compared to the control group (z = -5.234, P < 0.001).
In the low FeNO group, which included a treatment group (n = 36) and a control group (n = 25), baseline FeNO levels were comparable between the two groups: the treatment group exhibited a median level of 18.5 ppb (interquartile range [IQR]: 12.5, 20), while the control group showed a median level of 15 ppb (IQR: 12, 19) (z = -1.051, P = 0.293). Following treatment, the median FeNO level in the treatment group decreased to 14 ppb (IQR: 8.5, 18), whereas the control group experienced a decrease to 12 ppb (IQR: 10, 14). The difference between groups post-treatment was not statistically significant (z = -1.016, P = 0.31). Within-group analyses revealed a significant reduction in FeNO levels in the treatment group, with a median difference of 4 ppb (IQR: 1.5, 5.5, z = -5.026, P < 0.001). Conversely, the control group did not exhibit a significant change, showing a median difference of 3 ppb (IQR: 2, 5, z = -3.977, P < 0.001, Table 5).
Analysis of CAT score changes
In the high FeNO group, the treatment cohort exhibited significantly higher baseline CAT scores compared to the control cohort (P < 0.001). Both cohorts demonstrated significant within-group improvements in CAT scores following the intervention (P < 0.001 for both).
Considering the baseline imbalance of symptom scores, the inter-group comparison focused on the degree of improvement (Delta CAT). Notably, the treatment cohort exhibited a significantly greater median reduction in CAT scores (P = 0.040) when compared to the control cohort. This indicates that the superior therapeutic response in the treatment group is evident in the magnitude of change, rather than solely in the post-treatment absolute values.
In the low FeNO group, the treatment group (n = 36) and the control group (n = 25) exhibited comparable baseline CAT scores (z = -2.084, P = 0.037). The treatment group demonstrated a significant improvement in CAT scores (z = -5.268, P < 0.001), whereas the control group did not show a statistically significant change (z = -1.581, P = 0.114). Furthermore, the median reduction in CAT scores was significantly greater in the treatment group compared with the control group (P = 0.014, Table 6).
Analysis of pulmonary function index changes
Percent predicted of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1%pred)
In the high FeNO group (n = 61), both the treatment and control groups demonstrated comparable baseline FEV1% predicted values (z = -0.836, P = 0.403). Following treatment, the median FEV1% predicted in the treatment group rose to 51.65%, whereas the control group saw an increase to 46.7%. The difference in post-treatment FEV1% predicted between the groups was statistically significant (z = -2.024, P = 0.043). In order to determine the net effect of the intervention, the change in FEV1 from baseline was analyzed. The median increase in FEV1% predicted was 12.7% for the treatment group and 4.2% for the control group. The inter-group comparison of these delta values revealed a statistically significant difference (z = -3.396, P = 0.001), indicating a substantial treatment-specific improvement in lung function. Within-group comparisons revealed significant improvements in FEV1% predicted for both the treatment group (z = -5.232, P < 0.001) and the control group (z = -4.373, P < 0.001).
In the low FeNO group (n = 61), baseline FEV1%pred was comparable between the treatment group (40.95%) and the control group (41%, z = -0.513, P = 0.608). Post-treatment, the median FEV1%pred in the treatment group increased to 45.95%, while in the control group, it increased to 45.9% (IQR: 38.3–53.1), with no significant between-group difference (z = -0.154, P = 0.878). The median increase in FEV1%pred was 6.7% in the treatment group and 6.2% in the control group, with no significant between-group difference (Table 7).
Ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 s to forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC)
Before treatment, no significant difference was observed in the FEV1/FVC ratio between the two subgroups within each group (P > 0.05). After treatment, the FEV1/FVC ratio in the high FeNO treatment group was significantly higher than that in the control group (P < 0.001). However, no significant difference was found in the FEV1/FVC ratio between the two subgroups in the low FeNO group (P = 0.628). Furthermore, after treatment, the FEV1/FVC ratio in each subgroup was significantly higher than that before treatment (P < 0.05). The mean change in the FEV1/FVC ratio in the high FeNO treatment group was significantly greater than that in the control group (P = 0.005), while no significant difference was observed in the FEV1/FVC ratio between the two subgroups in the low FeNO group (P = 0.814; see Table 8).
Correlation analysis
There was a significant positive correlation between baseline FeNO and EOS values (r = 0.617, P < 0.001) and FEV1 improvement rate (r = 0.234, P = 0.009). In contrast, baseline exhaled nitric oxide fraction levels were inversely correlated with changes in COPD assessment test scores (defined as post-treatment scores minus pre-treatment values; r = -0.267, P = 0.003), suggesting that higher baseline exhaled nitric oxide fractions were associated with greater symptom improvement. There was no significant correlation between baseline FeNO values and other indicators such as CRP, PCT, SAA, or FEV1/FVC (P < 0.05, Figure 2).
DATA AVAILABILITY:
Data supporting the findings of this study are provided in Supplementary File 1.

Figure 1: Flow chart of patient enrollment and study design. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.

Figure 2: Correlation analysis between baseline FeNO levels and clinical and laboratory indicators. (A) Baseline fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) and eosinophil count (EOS). (B) Baseline FeNO and ΔFEV1%. (C) Baseline FeNO and C-reactive protein (CRP). (D) Baseline FeNO and procalcitonin (PCT). (E) Baseline FeNO and serum amyloid A (SAA). (F) Baseline FeNO and FEV1/FVC. (G) Baseline FeNO and ΔCAT score. (H) Baseline FeNO and duration of hospital stay. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
| Variables | High FeNO Group | Low FeNO Group | X2/t/z | P |
| (n=61) | (n=61) |
| Age (years) | 69.05±9.05 | 69.25±7.39 | -0.131 | 0.896 |
| Gender (%) | | | 0.054 | 0.817 |
| Male | 49(80.33) | 50(81.97) | | |
| Female | 12(19.67) | 11(18.03) | | |
| BMI(kg/m2) | 22.82±2.94 | 22.79±3.17 | 0.061 | 0.952 |
| Smoking History (%) | | | 0.132 | 0.716 |
| Non-smoker | 27(44.26) | 29(47.54) | | |
| Smoker | 34(55.74) | 32(52.46) | | |
| Smoking Index (pack-years) | 525(300,1200) | 800(512.5,1000) | -1.373 | 0.17 |
| GOLD Classification (%) | | | -1.147 | 0.251 |
| Grade 1 | 3(4.92) | 4(6.56) | | |
| Grade 2 | 16(26.23) | 13(21.31) | | |
| Grade 3 | 33(54.10) | 27(44.26) | | |
| Grade 4 | 9(14.75) | 17(27.87) | | |
| Data are presented as mean ± SD, median (interquartile range), or n (%) |
Table 1: Comparison of baseline characteristics between the two groups.
| Complications | High FeNO Group | Low FeNO Group | X2 | P |
| (n=61) | (n=61) |
| Hypertension (%) | | | 2.198 | 0.138 |
| No | 33(54.10) | 41(67.21) | | |
| Yes | 28(45.90) | 20(32.79) | | |
| Diabetes Mellitus (%) | | | 0 | 1 |
| No | 56(91.80) | 56(91.8) | | |
| Yes | 5(8.20) | 5(8.2) | | |
| Coronary Heart Disease (%) | | | 0 | 1 |
| No | 58(95.08) | 59(96.72) | | |
| Yes | 3(4.92) | 2(3.28) | | |
| Heart Failure (%) | | | - | - |
| No | 61(100) | 61(100) | | |
| Yes | 0(0) | 0(0) | | |
| Cor Pulmonale (%) | | | 1.743 | 0.187 |
| No | 58(95.08) | 54(88.52) | | |
| Yes | 3(4.92) | 7(11.48) | | |
| Data are presented as n (%) |
Table 2: Comparison of historically significant complications between the two groups.
| Indicators | High FeNO Group | Low FeNO Group | z | P |
| (n=61) | (n=61) |
| CRP (mg/L) | 3.65(0.8,20.8) | 6.6(2.1,44.9) | -1.626 | 0.104 |
| PCT (ng/mL) | 0.07(0.05,0.09) | 0.06(0.03,0.13) | -0.34 | 0.734 |
| SAA (mg/L) | 14.5(6.05,50) | 14(5.7,160) | -0.365 | 0.715 |
| WBC (×10⁹/L) | 5.91(4.9,7.28) | 5.68(4.31,7.21) | -0.415 | 0.678 |
| CAT Score | 24(22,26) | 23(21,26) | -0.909 | 0.363 |
| Data are presented as median (interquartile range) |
Table 3: Comparison of clinical indicators between the two groups.
| Group | n | EOS (×10⁹/L) | z | P |
| High FeNO Group | 61 | 0.23 (0.17,0.28) | -8.12 | <0.001 |
| Low FeNO Group | 61 | 0.04 (0.01,0.10) | | |
| Data are presented as median (interquartile range) |
Table 4: Comparison of eosinophil counts between the two groups.
| FeNO (ppb) | High FeNO Group (n=61) | z | P | Low FeNO Group (n=61) | z | P |
| treatment group | control group | treatment group | control group |
| (n=36) | (n=25) | (n=36) | (n=25) |
| Pre-treatment | 34.5 (30.5,41.5) | 35 (31,42) | -0.176 | 0.86 | 18.5 (12.5,20) | 15 (12,19) | -1.051 | 0.293 |
| Post-treatment | 22 (20,24) | 14 (8.5,18) | -4.457 | <0.001 | 14(8.5,18) | 12 (10,14) | -1.016 | 0.31 |
| Difference | 11.5 (7.5,19.5) | 4 (1.5,5.5) | -4.431 | <0.001 | 4(1.5,5.5) | 3 (2,5) | -0.74 | 0.459 |
| z | -5.234 | -4.118 | | | -5.026 | -3.977 | | |
| P | <0.001 | <0.001 | | | <0.001 | <0.001 | | |
| Data are presented as median (interquartile range) |
Table 5: Changes in FeNO levels before and after treatment.
| CAT Score | High FeNO Group (n=61) | z | P | Low FeNO Group (n=61) | z | P |
| treatment group | control group | treatment group | control group |
| (n=36) | (n=25) | (n=36) | (n=25) |
| Pre-treatment | 26 (24,27) | 23 (22,24) | -3.512 | <0.001 | 25 (21.5,27) | 23 (21,23) | -2.084 | 0.037 |
| Post-treatment | 21 (20,23) | 20 (19,21) | -2.244 | 0.025 | 20.5 (18,23) | 19 (18,21) | -1.581 | 0.114 |
| Difference | 4 (3,5) | 3 (2,4) | -2.052 | 0.04 | 4 (3,5) | 3 (2,4) | -2.464 | 0.014 |
| z | -5.331 | -4.411 | | | -5.268 | -4.421 | | |
| P | <0.001 | <0.001 | | | <0.001 | <0.001 | | |
| Data are presented as median (interquartile range) |
Table 6: Changes in CAT scores before and after treatment.
| FEV1%pred | High FeNO Group (n=61) | z | P | Low FeNO Group (n=61) | z | P |
| treatment group | control group (n=25) | treatment group (n=36) | control group (n=25) |
| (n=36) |
| Pre-treatment | 37.45 | 42.6 | -0.836 | 0.403 | 40.95 | 41 | -0.513 | 0.608 |
| (33.35,41.35) | (31.3,46.2) | (33.25,46.5) | (23.5,47.1) |
| Post-treatment | 51.65 | 46.7 | -2.024 | 0.043 | 45.95 | 45.9 | -0.154 | 0.878 |
| (45.4,57.4) | (41.7,51.8) | (40.25,52.15) | (38.3,53.1) |
| Difference | 12.7 | 4.2 | -3.396 | 0.001 | 6.7 | 6.2 | -0.579 | 0.562 |
| (6.1,20.95) | (2.9,11) | (2.45,8.85) | (4.9,12.7) |
| z | -5.232 | -4.373 | | | -5.232 | -4.373 | | |
| P | <0.001 | <0.001 | | | <0.001 | <0.001 | | |
| Data are presented as median (interquartile range) |
Table 7: Changes in predicted FEV1% before and after treatment.
| FEV1/FVC | High FeNO Group (n=61) | z | P | Low FeNO Group (n=61) | z | P |
| treatment group | control group | treatment group | control group |
| (n=36) | (n=25) | (n=36) | (n=25) |
| Pre-treatment | 56.72 | 56.74 | -0.447 | 0.655 | 56.77 | 56.44 | -0.513 | 0.608 |
| (52.86,60.95) | (49.96,62.67) | (51.12,63.87) | (52.8,66.75) |
| Post-treatment | 69.08 | 61.07 | -3.842 | 0 | 63.24 | 63.71 | -0.484 | 0.628 |
| (65.25,72.43) | (56.35,66.37) | (59.14,68.02) | (60.78,66.84) |
| Difference | 12.11 | 6.55 | -2.779 | 0.005 | 4.79 | 7.64 | -0.235 | 0.814 |
| (6.45,16.97) | (0.34,11.99) | (1.13,13.17) | (-1.38,12.24) |
| z | -5.232 | -2.65 | | | -3.603 | -2.354 | | |
| P | <0.001 | 0.008 | | | <0.001 | 0.019 | | |
| Data are presented as median (interquartile range) |
Table 8: Changes in FEV1/FVC before and after treatment.
Supplementary File 1: Data supporting the findings of this study. Please click here to download this file.