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Participant characteristics and study flow
The participant selection process for this 6-year longitudinal study is detailed in Figure 1. Of the initial 2,350 community-dwelling older adults invited to the 2017 baseline survey, 1,188 were excluded due to missing core data, loss of independent living, or pre-existing sleep issues (sleep deprivation or non-restorative sleep). This resulted in a baseline cohort of 1,162 individuals with normal sleep status. During the 6-year follow-up period, an additional 689 participants were excluded due to loss to follow-up, death, relocation, or incomplete data in the 2023 survey.
To assess potential attrition bias, baseline characteristics were compared between the final analytical cohort (n = 473) and those lost to follow-up (n = 689). No statistically significant differences were observed in baseline age (p = 0.12) or baseline mean ISI scores (p. = 0.09), suggesting that sample attrition was random and unlikely to bias the observed associations systematically.
As shown in Table 1, the final cohort (N = 473) had a mean age of 70.27 (SD = 6.50) years, with a higher proportion of females (56.7%). Most participants (88.6%) reported having at least one chronic disease, while over half engaged in daily exercise (56.2%) and expressed satisfaction with their current life (74.0%). By the end of the 6-year follow-up in 2023, 16.3% (n = 77) of the participants had developed sleep deprivation (<6 h per day), and 26.2% (n. = 124) reported experiencing non-restorative sleep (NRS).
Trajectories of social interaction (2017–2023)
The median Index of Social Interaction (ISI) score remained stable at 16 for both the 2017 and 2023 assessments. However, individual trajectories revealed significant shifts in social engagement over time, as visualized in the Sankey diagram (Figure 2). When categorized by the cohort median, the majority of participants (n = 255, 53.9%) maintained consistently high social interaction (High-to-High). Conversely, 22.0% (n = 104) experienced a decline from high to low interaction (High-to-Low), 18.8% (n = 89) remained persistently isolated (Low-to-Low), and only a small fraction (n. = 25, 5.3%) improved their social engagement from low to high.
Bivariate analysis of sleep outcomes
Preliminary bivariate analyses (Table 2) indicated that specific demographic and social factors were associated with subsequent sleep issues. Advancing age (p = 0.002) and continuous negative changes in ISI scores (p = 0.003) were significantly associated with the incidence of sleep deprivation. For sleep restoration, lack of daily exercise (p = 0.001), lower life satisfaction (p = 0.010), and negative changes in continuous ISI scores (p = 0.004) were significantly correlated with an increased risk of NRS. Furthermore, the categorized ISI subgroup trends were highly significant for both sleep deprivation and NRS (both p. < 0.001).
Association between social interaction changes and sleep duration
Multivariable logistic regression indicated that advancing age was an independent risk factor for sleep deprivation (OR = 1.052, 95% CI [1.013, 1.089], p = 0.007). Conversely, an incremental 1-point increase in the continuous ISI score was associated with a significantly reduced risk (OR = 0.912, 95% CI [0.847, 0.982], p. = 0.015), even after adjusting for age (Table 3).
The forest plot in Figure 3 further delineates these risks across categorized social changes. Compared to those with steady social interactions (reference group), participants exhibiting a negative change in ISI scores faced a 2.72-fold higher risk of sleep deprivation (OR = 2.72, 95% CI [1.38, 5.35], p = 0.004). Subgroup trend analysis revealed that, relative to the High-to-High reference group, the risk of sleep deprivation was significantly elevated in the High-to-Low group (OR = 2.61, 95% CI [1.41, 4.82], p = 0.002) and the Low-to-Low group (OR = 2.09, 95% CI [1.06, 4.10], p. = 0.032). Transitioning from Low-to-High did not yield statistically significant differences in sleep duration outcomes compared to the reference groups.
Association between social interaction changes and sleep restoration
Similar patterns were observed regarding sleep restoration. Multivariable models identified the lack of daily exercise (OR = 1.947, 95% CI [1.277, 2.968], p = 0.002) and the absence of life satisfaction (OR = 1.874, 95% CI [1.180, 2.977], p = 0.008) as independent risk factors for NRS. Adjusting for these covariates, which were selected based on a priori clinical relevance and preliminary bivariate associations, a 1-point increase in the continuous ISI score remained significantly associated with a lower risk of NRS (OR = 0.920, 95% CI [0.865, 0.978], p. = 0.007) (Table 3).
Figure 4 illustrates the categorized risk profiles for NRS. Participants with a negative overall change in social interaction were at a substantially higher risk of developing NRS compared to the steady interaction reference group (OR = 2.71, 95% CI [1.39, 5.32], p = 0.004). Trend analysis demonstrated that a decline in social status (High-to-Low) was the strongest predictor of NRS (OR = 3.01, 95% CI [1.64, 5.56], p < 0.001), followed by persistently low social interaction (Low-to-Low: OR = 2.67, 95% CI [1.36, 5.26], p. = 0.005). Consistent with the sleep duration findings, improving social interaction (Low-to-High) did not reach statistical significance for altering NRS risk.
DATA AVAILABILITY:
The raw data supporting the conclusions of this study, fully de-identified and anonymized to strictly protect participant confidentiality in accordance with the Ethics Committee's requirements, are provided in Supplementary File 1.

Figure 1: Flowchart of the study participant selection process. A total of 2,350 community-dwelling older adults initially participated in the Community Empowerment and Care (CEC) survey in 2017. Participants were excluded at baseline if they had missing core data (n = 120), complete loss of independent living ability (n = 218), or pre-existing sleep issues, including sleep deprivation (n = 380) and non-restorative sleep (n = 470). The resulting baseline cohort comprised 1,162 participants with normal sleep status. During the 6-year follow-up in 2023, 689 individuals were excluded due to loss to follow-up, death, or relocation (n = 450), and missing critical variables in the follow-up assessment (n = 239). The final longitudinal analysis included 473 participants. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.

Figure 2: Sankey diagram illustrating the longitudinal trajectories of social interaction among participants from 2017 to 2023. Participants (N = 473) were categorized into “High ISI” (score ≥ 16) and “Low ISI” (score < 16) groups based on the median Index of Social Interaction (ISI) score at both baseline and follow-up. The flows represent the transition of individuals between these states over the 6 years, resulting in four distinct trajectory subgroups: persistently low (Low-to-Low), declining (High-to-Low), improving (Low-to-High), and persistently high (High-to-High). Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.

Figure 3: Forest plot of multivariable logistic regression analysis for the risk of sleep deprivation. The plot displays the adjusted Odds Ratios (OR) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for the incidence of sleep deprivation (<6 h of sleep per day) after 6 years. The analysis evaluates two conceptualizations of social interaction changes: (1) categorized overall change in ISI scores (Negative, Positive, with Steady as the reference), and (2) subgroup trend transitions based on median scores (Low-to-Low, High-to-Low, Low-to-High, with High-to-High as the reference). Models were adjusted for age. A vertical dashed line indicates an OR of 1.0 (no effect). Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.

Figure 4: Forest plot of multivariable logistic regression analysis for the risk of non-restorative sleep (NRS). The plot displays the adjusted Odds Ratios (OR) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for experiencing non-restorative sleep after 6 years. Similar to Figure 3, it evaluates the impact of categorized overall changes in ISI scores and subgroup trend transitions. Models were adjusted for daily exercise and life satisfaction. A vertical dashed line indicates an OR of 1.0 (no effect). Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
| Variables | Categories | n | % |
| Age (years) | Mean ± SD | 70.27 ± 6.50 | |
| Sex | Male | 205 | 43.3 |
| Female | 268 | 56.7 |
| Smoking status | Yes | 184 | 38.9 |
| No | 289 | 61.1 |
| Alcohol consumption | Yes | 157 | 33.2 |
| No | 316 | 66.8 |
| Chronic disease history | Yes | 419 | 88.6 |
| No | 54 | 11.4 |
| Daily exercise habits | Yes | 266 | 56.2 |
| No | 207 | 43.8 |
| Subjective life satisfaction | Yes | 350 | 74 |
| No | 123 | 26 |
| Motor function level | Normal | 393 | 83.1 |
| Low | 80 | 16.9 |
| Nutritional level | Normal | 463 | 97.9 |
| Low | 10 | 2.1 |
| Sleep duration per day (2023) | ≥ 6 hours | 396 | 83.7 |
| < 6 hours | 77 | 16.3 |
| Subjective restorative sleep (2023) | Yes | 349 | 73.8 |
| No | 124 | 26.2 |
| ISI score in 2017 | Median [Q25–Q75] | 16 [14–17] | |
| ISI score in 2023 | Median [Q25–Q75] | 16 [15–17] | |
Table 1: Baseline demographic and health-related characteristics of the study participants (N = 473). Abbreviations: SD, Standard Deviation; ISI, Index of Social Interaction; Q25-Q75, Interquartile Range.
| Variable | Categories / Metrics | Sleep Deprivation (< 6 h)n=77 | P-value | Non-Restorative Sleep (NRS) n=124 | P-value |
| Age (years) | Continuous | — | 0.002 | — | 0.504 |
| Change in ISI score | Continuous | — | 0.003 | — | 0.004 |
| Sex | Male | 32 | 0.73 | 52 | 0.713 |
| Female | 45 | | 72 | |
| Daily exercise habits | Yes | 41 | 0.563 | 54 | 0.001 |
| No | 36 | | 70 | |
| Subjective life satisfaction | Yes | 55 | 0.575 | 81 | 0.01 |
| No | 22 | | 43 | |
| ISI Trajectory Subgroup | High-to-High (Ref) | 21 | < 0.001† | 34 | < 0.001† |
| High-to-Low | 26 | | 35 | |
| Low-to-High | 10 | | 22 | |
| Low-to-Low | 20 | | | |
Table 2: Bivariate associations between participant characteristics and sleep outcomes after 6 years. Categorical variables were analyzed using the Chi-square test, and continuous variables (Age and Change in ISI) were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test due to skewed distributions. Significant p.-values (< 0.05) indicate a statistical association with sleep deprivation or non-restorative sleep. Abbreviations: NRS, Non-restorative Sleep; ISI, Index of Social Interaction.
| Dependent Outcome | Independent Variables | Adjusted OR | 95% CI | P-value |
| Sleep Deprivation (< 6 h) | Age (per 1-year increase) | 1.052 | [1.013, 1.089] | 0.007 |
| Change in ISI score (per 1-point increase) | 0.912 | [0.847, 0.982] | 0.015 |
| Non-Restorative Sleep (NRS) | Daily exercise habits (No vs. Yes) | 1.947 | [1.277, 2.968] | 0.002 |
| Subjective life satisfaction (No vs. Yes) | 1.874 | [1.180, 2.977] | 0.008 |
| Change in ISI score (per 1-point increase) | 0.92 | [0.865, 0.978] | 0.007 |
Table 3: Multivariable logistic regression analysis of the association between continuous changes in social interaction and sleep outcomes. This table presents the protective effects of an incremental increase in social interaction on sleep health. The model evaluates the impact of a 1-point increase in the continuous ISI score from 2017 to 2023 on the risk of sleep deprivation (adjusted for age) and non-restorative sleep (adjusted for exercise and life satisfaction). Abbreviations: OR, Odds Ratio; CI, Confidence Interval; ISI, Index of Social Interaction.
Supplementary File 1: The raw data supporting the conclusions of this study. Please click here to download this file.