Cohort characteristics
The investigation enrolled 541 participants altogether: 270 COPD cases (comprising 206 men and 64 women) and 271 healthy controls (210 men and 61 women) (Table 1). The COPD group had an average age of 72.26 ± 10.40 years, whereas the control group averaged 69.21 ± 6.61 years (p < 0.0001). Among healthy comparators, 136 individuals reported a history of smoking, and 133 were categorized as alcohol consumers. Within the COPD arm, smokers numbered 128 and drinkers 126. The mean FEV1/FVC ratio measured in the case cohort was 58.56 ± 15.05%. Because cases were on average older than controls, age was included as a covariate in all multivariable association models.
Genotyping outcomes for FAM13A variants
All five genotyped polymorphisms conformed to Hardy-Weinberg expectations, indicating the absence of notable genotyping artifacts or population stratification (Table 2). Comparison of minor allele frequencies across populations revealed discernible inter-ethnic variation in the distribution of these SNPs (Table 2).
Impact of FAM13A SNPs on COPD susceptibility
Analysis of the genotype data uncovered a significantly elevated proportion of the rs2869950 C allele among COPD patients (39.4%) relative to healthy controls (32.1%), suggesting that this allele operates as a risk factor for COPD in the study sample (OR = 1.38; 95% CI: 1.07–1.77; p = 0.012). Consistent with this, the heterozygous TC genotype at rs2869950 was encountered more frequently in the case group (50.7%) than in controls (41.3%), demonstrating a statistically robust association with heightened COPD vulnerability. Under dominant, overdominant, and log-additive inheritance frameworks, the rs2869950 locus retained its significant link to increased risk. None of the remaining four candidate variants displayed a statistically meaningful association with disease status (Table 3). FPRP assessment corroborated the credibility of the positive signals derived from the primary analysis: for the rs2869950 C allele, FPRP was 0.092 at a prior probability of 0.1 (0.033 at 0.25); for the TC genotype, FPRP was 0.070; and for the dominant model, FPRP was 0.048, all below the 0.2 noteworthiness threshold (Supplementary Table 2).
Subgroup stratification
To probe the potential influence of confounders, stratified evaluations were performed across strata defined by sex, age, cigarette smoking, alcohol intake, and body mass index (Figure 1). The risk-conferring effect of rs2869950 proved especially striking in female participants, smokers, subjects older than 71 years, individuals with a BMI below 24 kg/m2, and alcohol drinkers. Based on FPRP calculations, the associations observed in the overall sample and in the drinking and BMI < 24 kg/m2 strata met the criteria for noteworthy findings (FPRP < 0.2 at a prior probability of 0.1; Supplementary Table 2).
MDR analysis
MDR modeling revealed that both the four-locus combination (rs2602119, rs1801915, rs11944668, rs2869950) and the full five-locus model attained the highest testing balanced accuracy among the multi-locus models (0.5193; training balanced accuracy, 0.6075) and a cross-validation consistency of 10/10 (Table 4), designating them as the most predictive multi-locus configurations for COPD risk. Within these models, rs2602119 and rs11944668 exhibited a strong reciprocal synergy, whereas rs2869950 demonstrated the greatest information gain, underscoring its dominant contribution to predictive capacity (Figure 2).
Conclusions
Our findings identify the C allele and the heterozygous TC genotype of rs2869950 as genetic determinants significantly associated with elevated COPD susceptibility. These results open a promising line of investigation and supply a foundational rationale for crafting individualized strategies for COPD prevention and clinical management, with particular applicability to the elderly Han Chinese demographic. Should independent cohorts confirm this association, rs2869950 may prove useful as a genetic marker for risk stratification of high-risk smokers and for guiding early screening in this population.
DATA AVAILABILITY:
The original data for this article have been uploaded to the Science Data Bank (ScienceDB), and the data link is https://www.scidb.cn/s/7Jb6Jv, where they are publicly available to everyone.

Figure 1: Forest plot illustrating the association between FAM13A genetic variants and COPD susceptibility in subgroup-stratified analysis. Point estimates (squares) and 95% confidence intervals (horizontal lines) are shown for the rs2869950 risk models within strata defined by sex, age (>71 years, ≤71 years), smoking status, drinking status, and body mass index (BMI < 24 kg/m2, ≥24 kg/m2). Estimates to the right of the vertical reference line (OR = 1) indicate increased COPD risk. OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval; COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; BMI = body mass index. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.

Figure 2: MDR analysis of the interactions between FAM13A SNPs. (A) SNP-SNP Interaction Dendrogram: The color spectrum represents the degree of redundancy or synergy between the SNPs; redder colors signify greater synergy, while bluer colors denote higher redundancy. (B) Fruchterman-Reingold Layout: The values within the nodes indicate the information gain (IG) of individual SNPs (main effects), while the values between nodes denote the IG of each SNP pair (interaction effects). MDR = multifactor dimensionality reduction; SNP = single nucleotide polymorphism; IG = information gain. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
Table 1: Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics of study participants. Data are presented as mean ± standard deviation or n (%). P values were derived from the independent-samples t test (age) or the chi-square test (categorical variables); a represents the p-value calculated by the t-test; b represents the p-value calculated by the chi-square test. BMI = body mass index; COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; FEV1 = forced expiratory volume in the first second; FVC = forced vital capacity. Please click here to download this table.
Table 2: Summary information and Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) assessment for candidate FAM13A variants. Minor allele frequencies observed in cases and controls are shown together with reference frequencies for Han Chinese in Beijing (CHB), Southern Han Chinese (CHS), African (AFR), and European (EUR) populations. A = minor allele; B = wild-type allele; HWE p > 0.05 indicates conformity with Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium. AFR, African; CHB, Han Chinese in Beijing; CHS, Southern Han Chinese; EUR, European; HWE, Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium; MAF, minor allele frequency; SNP, single nucleotide polymorphism. Please click here to download this table.
Table 3: Association between candidate FAM13A SNPs and COPD risk. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated by logistic regression under allele, codominant, dominant, recessive, overdominant, and log-additive models, with adjustment for age, sex, smoking status, and drinking status. p < 0.05 and bold text indicate statistical significance; "–" indicates the log-additive model. CI = confidence interval; COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; OR = odds ratio; SNP = single nucleotide polymorphism. Please click here to download this table.
Table 4: MDR analysis of SNP–SNP interaction effects on COPD susceptibility. For each locus combination, the training and testing balanced accuracy, odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI), P value, and cross-validation consistency (CVC) are shown; the four- and five-locus models achieved the highest testing balanced accuracy among the multi-locus models (0.5193) with a CVC of 10/10. P values were calculated using χ2 tests; p < 0.05 and bold text indicate statistical significance. Bal. Acc. = balanced accuracy; CVC = cross-validation consistency; COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; MDR = multifactor dimensionality reduction; OR = odds ratio; SNP = single nucleotide polymorphism; 95% CI = 95% confidence interval. Please click here to download this table.
Supplementary Table 1: The primers for FAM13A gene amplification and single-base extension genotyping. SNP = single nucleotide polymorphism; UEP-DIR = unique extension primer direction; UEP-SEQ = unique extension primer sequence. Please click here to download this file.
Supplementary Table 2: The FPRP and statistical power values of all the positive results in this study. FPRP = false-positive report probability; OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval; BMI = body mass index. aStatistical power was calculated using the number of observations in the subgroup and the OR and P values in this table. bThe false-positive report probability threshold was set at 0.2. *indicates noteworthy findings (FPRP below the 0.2 threshold at the corresponding prior probability). Please click here to download this file.