Expression analysis of TMED3 in pan-cancer
Analysis of TCGA and GTEx datasets demonstrated that TMED3 messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) expression was significantly elevated in most tumor tissues compared with corresponding normal tissues, including adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC), bladder urothelial carcinoma (BLCA), breast invasive carcinoma (BRCA), cervical squamous cell carcinoma and endocervical adenocarcinoma (CESC), cholangiocarcinoma (CHOL), colon adenocarcinoma (COAD), diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBC), esophageal carcinoma (ESCA), glioblastoma multiforme (GBM), kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC), kidney renal papillary cell carcinoma (KIRP), brain lower grade glioma (LGG), liver hepatocellular carcinoma (LIHC), lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC), ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma (OV), pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD), pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma (PCPG), prostate adenocarcinoma (PRAD), rectum adenocarcinoma (READ), skin cutaneous melanoma (SKCM), stomach adenocarcinoma (STAD), testicular germ cell tumors (TGCT), thyroid carcinoma (THCA), thymoma (THYM), uterine corpus endometrial carcinoma (UCEC), and uterine carcinosarcoma (UCS), whereas reduced expression was observed in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSC) and acute myeloid leukemia (LAML) (Figure 1A). Matched adjacent normal tissues served as controls for paired expression analyses. Paired TCGA analysis further confirmed significantly increased TMED3 expression in BLCA, BRCA, CHOL, COAD, kidney chromophobe (KICH), KIRP, KIRC, LIHC, LUAD, LUSC, PRAD, STAD, and UCEC tissues compared with paired normal tissues (Figure 1B). In addition, protein expression analysis using the UALCAN/Clinical Proteomic Tumor Analysis Consortium (CPTAC) database demonstrated increased TMED3 protein levels in BRCA, COAD, GBM, KIRC, LIHC, LUAD, LUSC, OV, and UCEC tumor tissues, whereas reduced protein expression was observed in PAAD compared with normal tissues (Figure 1C). However, TMED3 protein expression was lower in PAAD than normal tissues. This discrepancy between mRNA and protein expression patterns may reflect post-transcriptional or post-translational regulatory mechanisms. These findings suggest that TMED3 is aberrantly upregulated in multiple cancers and may be associated with diagnostic and prognostic characteristics across multiple cancers.

Figure 1. TMED3 expression profiles across human cancers. (A) Differential TMED3 mRNA expression between tumor and normal tissues across multiple cancer types based on TCGA and GTEx datasets. Expression levels are presented as log2(TPM + 1). (B) Paired analysis of TMED3 mRNA expression between tumor tissues and matched adjacent normal tissues from TCGA datasets. (C) Differential TMED3 protein expression between normal tissues and primary tumors in CPTAC/UALCAN datasets, including breast invasive carcinoma (BRCA), colon adenocarcinoma (COAD), glioblastoma multiforme (GBM), kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC), liver hepatocellular carcinoma (LIHC), lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC), ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma (OV), pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD), and uterine corpus endometrial carcinoma (UCEC). Data are presented as box plots. Statistical significance was analyzed using Wilcoxon rank-sum or Wilcoxon signed-rank tests, as appropriate. *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001; ns, not significant. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
Clinicopathological feature analysis
Clinical stage analysis demonstrated that TMED3 expression was significantly higher in advanced-stage tumors (Stage III–IV) compared with early-stage tumors (Stage I–II) in ACC, KIRC, KIRP, and LUAD (Figure 2). In contrast, TMED3 expression was significantly reduced in advanced-stage UCEC tissues. These findings suggest that elevated TMED3 expression may be associated with tumor progression in several cancer types.

Figure 2. Association between TMED3 expression and pathological stage across multiple cancers. Violin plots showing TMED3 mRNA expression levels in early-stage tumors (Stage I–II) and advanced-stage tumors (Stage III–IV) in adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC), kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC), kidney renal papillary cell carcinoma (KIRP), lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), and uterine corpus endometrial carcinoma (UCEC). Expression levels are presented as log2(TPM + 1). Statistical significance was evaluated using Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. *P < 0.05, ***P < 0.001. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
Prognostic analysis
Cox regression and survival analyses demonstrated that high TMED3 expression was associated with poorer OS in ACC, COAD, LUAD, and UVM (Figure 3A). DSS analysis further revealed that elevated TMED3 expression was significantly associated with unfavorable DSS in ACC, COAD, GBM, KIRP, and UVM (Figure 3B). Notably, ACC, COAD, and UVM consistently showed poor prognosis for both OS and DSS in patients with high TMED3 expression. Trend-level prognostic associations were also observed in selected tumor types, including LUAD, KIRC, and LGG. These findings suggest that TMED3 expression may have prognostic relevance in multiple malignancies.

Figure 3. Prognostic significance of TMED3 expression in pan-cancer analysis. (A) Forest plot showing the association between TMED3 expression and overall survival (OS) across multiple cancer types. (B) Forest plot showing the association between TMED3 expression and disease-specific survival (DSS) across multiple cancer types. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. HR > 1 indicates poor prognosis associated with high TMED3 expression. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
Mutation analysis
Genetic alteration analysis using the cBioPortal database demonstrated that TMED3 alterations across cancers mainly consisted of mutations, amplifications, deep deletions, and multiple alterations (Figure 4). The highest frequency of TMED3 alterations was observed in mesothelioma (MESO), primarily driven by gene amplification (2.3%). ESCA showed mixed alteration types, including mutation (0.55%), amplification (1.1%), and deep deletion (0.55%). In contrast, no detectable TMED3 genetic alterations were identified in LIHC, KICH, THCA, PCPG, CHOL, UVM, LAML, UCS, DLBC, KIRC, TGCT, and GBM datasets. These findings indicate that TMED3 genomic alterations occur in a tumor-specific manner and may contribute to cancer heterogeneity.

Figure 4. Genetic alteration landscape of TMED3 across cancers. Frequency and types of TMED3 genetic alterations across pan-cancer datasets obtained from the cBioPortal database. Alteration categories included mutation, amplification, deep deletion, and multiple alterations. The y-axis indicates alteration frequency (%) across cancer types. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
DNA methylation analysis
Analysis of the UALCAN database demonstrated that TMED3 promoter methylation levels were significantly increased in BRCA, COAD, ESCA, HNSC, KIRC, KIRP, LIHC, LUAD, PAAD, and PRAD tumor tissues compared with corresponding normal tissues (Figure 5). In contrast, reduced TMED3 promoter methylation levels were observed in BLCA, TGCT, and UCEC tissues relative to normal controls. These findings suggest that aberrant methylation of the TMED3 promoter may contribute to tumor-specific regulation of TMED3 expression.

Figure 5. Promoter methylation levels of TMED3 across cancers. Comparison of TMED3 promoter methylation levels between tumor tissues and corresponding normal tissues in bladder urothelial carcinoma (BLCA), breast invasive carcinoma (BRCA), colon adenocarcinoma (COAD), esophageal carcinoma (ESCA), head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSC), kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC), kidney renal papillary cell carcinoma (KIRP), liver hepatocellular carcinoma (LIHC), lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD), prostate adenocarcinoma (PRAD), testicular germ cell tumors (TGCT), and uterine corpus endometrial carcinoma (UCEC) datasets obtained from UALCAN. Data are presented as β values in box plots. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
Analysis of TMED3, TMB, and MSI correlations
Spearman correlation analysis demonstrated that TMED3 expression was positively correlated with TMB in ACC, ESCA, KIRC, LGG, PAAD, STAD, THYM, and UCEC, whereas negative correlations were observed in CESC, LUAD, and TGCT (Figure 6A). In addition, TMED3 expression was positively associated with MSI in DLBC, KIRC, SKCM, STAD, and UCEC (Figure 6B). Notably, TMED3 expression showed positive correlations with both TMB and MSI in KIRC, STAD, and UCEC, which may indicate potential associations with tumor immunogenicity in these cancers.

Figure 6. Correlation of TMED3 expression with tumor mutational burden and microsatellite instability in pan-cancer analysis. (A) Radar plot showing the correlation between TMED3 expression and tumor mutational burden (TMB) across cancers. (B) Radar plot showing the correlation between TMED3 expression and microsatellite instability (MSI) across cancers. Correlation coefficients were calculated using Spearman correlation analysis. *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
Immune characteristic analysis
ESTIMATE analysis demonstrated that TMED3 expression was negatively correlated with stromal score, immune score, and ESTIMATE score in BCLA, ESCA, LAML, LUAD, LUSC, PAAD, PRAD, SKCM, STAD, THCA, and UCEC (Figure 7A). In contrast, positive correlations between TMED3 expression and these immune-related scores were observed in LGG, LIHC, and PCPG. No significant correlations were identified in ACC, CHOL, DLBC, GBM, KICH, KIRC, KIRP, OV, and UCS. These findings suggest that TMED3 may influence the tumor microenvironment and immune cell infiltration in a cancer type-dependent manner. Immune checkpoint correlation analysis further demonstrated that TMED3 expression was negatively associated with the immune checkpoint-related genes CD274 (PD-L1), PDCD1 (PD-1), and CTLA4 in BLCA, BRCA, CESC, ESCA, HNSC, LUAD, LUSC, PRAD, SKCM, and THCA (Figure 7B). Positive correlations between TMED3 expression and immune checkpoint genes were identified in LIHC and UVM, whereas no significant associations were observed in GBM, KICH, LAML, MESO, OV, PCPG, READ, and TGCT. These results indicate that TMED3 may be associated with tumor immune regulation and immune checkpoint signaling in selected cancers.

Figure 7. Associations between TMED3 expression and tumor immune characteristics. (A) Heatmap showing correlations between TMED3 expression and stromal score, immune score, and ESTIMATE score across cancers calculated using the ESTIMATE algorithm. (B) Heatmap showing correlations between TMED3 expression and immune checkpoint-related genes, including CD274 (PD-L1), PDCD1 (PD-1), and CTLA4. Correlation coefficients were determined using Spearman correlation analysis. Color scale indicates correlation strength. *P < 0.05. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
Drug sensitivity analysis
Drug sensitivity analysis using the GSCALite platform based on GDSC datasets demonstrated that TMED3 expression was negatively correlated with the half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) values of 17-AAG, lapatinib, PD-0325901, RDEA119, and trametinib (Figure 8). These findings suggest that tumors with elevated TMED3 expression may exhibit increased sensitivity to these anticancer agents, suggesting potential associations between TMED3 expression and therapeutic sensitivity.

Figure 8. Correlation between TMED3 expression and anticancer drug sensitivity. Bubble plot showing correlations between TMED3 mRNA expression and sensitivity to anticancer drugs obtained from Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer (GDSC) datasets through the GSCALite platform. Bubble size represents statistical significance based on false discovery rate (FDR), and color indicates correlation coefficient values. Negative correlations indicate increased drug sensitivity associated with high TMED3 expression. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
Expression and prognosis of TMED3 in colon cancer
TMED3 expression analysis demonstrated significantly increased TMED3 mRNA levels in colon cancer tissues compared with normal colon tissues in TCGA datasets (Figure 9A). Paired analysis using matched adjacent normal tissues as controls further confirmed elevated TMED3 expression in colon cancer tissues (Figure 9B). Consistent with the transcriptomic findings, protein expression analysis using UALCAN/CPTAC datasets and immunohistochemical staining demonstrated increased TMED3 protein expression in colon cancer tissues compared with normal colon tissues (Figure 9C–9E). ROC curve analysis showed an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.869, indicating favorable diagnostic performance of TMED3 for distinguishing colon cancer tissues from normal tissues (Figure 9F). Clinicopathological analysis further demonstrated that TMED3 expression was significantly associated with T stage, whereas no significant associations were observed with age, gender, N stage, or TNM stage (Table 1). These findings support the potential diagnostic significance of TMED3 in colon cancer.

Figure 9. Expression, diagnostic value, and immunohistochemical validation of TMED3 in colon cancer. (A) Differential TMED3 mRNA expression between colon cancer tissues and normal colon tissues from TCGA datasets. (B) Paired analysis of TMED3 mRNA expression in colon cancer tissues and matched adjacent normal tissues. (C) TMED3 protein expression in colon cancer and normal tissues obtained from CPTAC/UALCAN datasets. (D) Representative immunohistochemical staining of TMED3 in normal colon tissue. (E) Representative immunohistochemical staining of TMED3 in colon cancer tissue showing increased TMED3 expression. (F) Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve evaluating the diagnostic value of TMED3 in colon cancer. Scale bars = 100 µm. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.869 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.813–0.924. Statistical significance was analyzed using Wilcoxon rank-sum or Wilcoxon signed-rank tests, as appropriate. ***P < 0.001. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
| Type | | TMED3 | P value | χ2 |
| Low expression | High expression |
| Age | | | | | |
| ≤ 55 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 0.13 | 2.34 |
| > 55 | 35 | 14 | 21 | | |
| Gender | | | | | |
| Female | 21 | 10 | 11 | 0.94 | 0.007 |
| Male | 39 | 19 | 20 | | |
| T stage | | | | | |
| T1+T2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 0.04 | 4.26 |
| T3+T4 | 37 | 14 | 23 | | |
| N Stage | | | | | |
| N0 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 0.2 | 1.67 |
| N1+N2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | | |
| TNM Stage | | | | | |
| I+II | 33 | 13 | 20 | 0.13 | 2.35 |
| III+IV | 27 | 16 | 11 | | |
Table 1: Association between TMED3 expression and clinicopathological characteristics in colon cancer. Clinicopathological characteristics of patients with colon cancer were compared between low- and high-TMED3-expression groups. Associations between TMED3 expression and clinicopathological variables, including age, sex, T stage, N stage, and TNM stage, were analyzed using chi-square (χ2) tests. Data are presented as the number of patients in each subgroup. Statistical significance was defined as P < 0.05.
KM survival analysis demonstrated that patients with high TMED3 expression exhibited significantly poorer OS (P = 0.031) and DSS (P = 0.020) compared with patients with low TMED3 expression (Figure 10A and 10B). Time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated that the predictive performance of TMED3 expression for OS yielded AUC values of 0.620, 0.564, and 0.575 at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively (Figure 10C). Furthermore, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified T stage, M stage, pathologic stage, and TMED3 expression as prognostic factors associated with overall survival in colon cancer (Table 2). These results suggest that elevated TMED3 expression is associated with poor prognosis in colon cancer, although the time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated only modest predictive performance.

Figure 10. Prognostic significance of TMED3 expression in colon cancer. (A) Kaplan–Meier (KM) overall survival (OS) curves comparing patients with high and low TMED3 expression in colon cancer. (B) Kaplan–Meier disease-specific survival (DSS) curves comparing patients with high and low TMED3 expression. (C) Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves evaluating the predictive performance of TMED3 expression for 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS. Survival differences were analyzed using the log-rank test. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
| Characteristics | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis |
Hazard ratio
(95% CI) | P value | Hazard ratio
(95% CI) | P value |
| Gender | 1.101(0.746–1.625) | 0.627 | | |
| T stage | 3.072(1.423–6.631) | 0.004 | 3.817(1.174–12.407) | 0.026 |
| N stage | 2.592(1.743–3.855) | <0.001 | 0.587(0.223–1.584) | 0.28 |
| M stage | 4.193(2.683–6.554) | <0.001 | 2.272(1.314–3.930) | 0.003 |
| Pathologic stage | 2.947(1.942–4.471) | <0.001 | 3.115(1.032–9.401) | 0.044 |
| TMED3 | 1.537(1.037–2.277) | 0.032 | 1.599(1.039–2.462) | 0.033 |
Table 2: Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses of prognostic factors associated with overall survival in colon cancer. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to evaluate the prognostic significance of clinicopathological characteristics and TMED3 expression in patients with colon cancer. Hazard ratios (HRs) are presented with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). Variables included sex, T stage, N stage, M stage, pathological stage, and TMED3 expression. Statistical significance was defined as P < 0.05.
Drug sensitivity analysis demonstrated that patients in the high TMED3 expression group exhibited lower estimated IC50 values for 5-fluorouracil, lapatinib, and trametinib compared with the low TMED3 expression group (Figure 11). These findings suggest that colon cancer patients with elevated TMED3 expression may show increased sensitivity to these chemotherapeutic and targeted therapeutic agents, suggesting potential associations between TMED3 expression and therapeutic response.

Figure 11. Correlation between TMED3 expression and chemotherapeutic drug sensitivity in colon cancer. Box plots showing estimated half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) values for 5-fluorouracil, lapatinib, and trametinib between low TMED3 expression (G1) and high TMED3 expression (G2) groups. Lower IC50 values indicate greater drug sensitivity. Statistical significance was analyzed using Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
Gene enrichment analysis
GSEA using KEGG datasets from the MSigDB database demonstrated that TMED3-related genes in colon cancer were significantly enriched in pathways associated with ribosome, Antigen Processing and Presentation, oxidative phosphorylation, and Pentose Phosphate Pathway (Figure 12). These findings suggest that TMED3 may participate in tumor progression through above pathways in colon cancer.

Figure 12. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) of TMED3-related genes in colon cancer. GSEA plots showing enrichment of TMED3-related genes in pathways associated with antigen processing and presentation, ribosome, oxidative phosphorylation, and pentose phosphate pathway in colon cancer. Normalized enrichment score (NES), nominal P value, and false discovery rate (FDR) values are indicated in each panel. Please click here to view a larger version of this figure.
This study demonstrated that TMED3 was aberrantly expressed across multiple cancers and was associated with tumor progression, prognosis, immune characteristics, TMB, MSI, and drug sensitivity. In colon cancer, TMED3 overexpression was associated with unfavorable survival outcomes and increased diagnostic value. Functional enrichment analysis further suggested that TMED3 may participate in cancer-related metabolic and signaling pathways. Collectively, these findings support further investigation of TMED3 as a potential diagnostic and prognostic biomarker in pan-cancer, particularly in colon cancer.
Data Availability:
The datasets analyzed in this study were obtained from publicly available databases, including The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA; https://portal.gdc.cancer.gov/projects/; accessed July 1, 2025), UALCAN (http://ualcan.path.uab.edu/; accessed July 1, 2025), cBioPortal (https://www.cbioportal.org/; accessed July 5, 2025), and the Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer (GDSC) platform through GSCA (https://guolab.wchscu.cn/GSCA/#/drug; accessed July 5, 2025). All processed data generated during this study are included within the article.